economic forecast

  • Federal Reserve Implements Third Rate Cut of the Year Amid Labor Market Concerns and Persistent Inflation

    Federal Reserve Implements Third Rate Cut of the Year Amid Labor Market Concerns and Persistent Inflation

    Dec 11, 2025 03:13 am CST

    The US Federal Reserve has cut interest rates for the third consecutive time this year to a range between 3.50% and 3.75%, citing labor market concerns despite elevated inflation. The decision revealed deepening divisions among Fed officials, with three members voting against the reduction while the central bank projected at least one more rate cut next year and revised its 2026 GDP growth forecast upward to 2.3%.

  • India

    India's Economy Shows Resilient 7.3% Growth in Q2 Despite Uneven Development Patterns

    Nov 25, 2025 02:56 pm CST

    India's economy expanded by 7.3% in the July-September quarter, powered by strong rural and government spending despite weak private investment. While statistical factors like a low deflator may have enhanced the growth figures, India remains among the world's fastest-growing major economies despite external challenges including increased U.S. tariffs and foreign investment outflows.

  • S&P Global Projects India

    S&P Global Projects India's GDP Growth at 6.7% for Next Fiscal Year: Economic Outlook Analysis

    Nov 24, 2025 03:42 pm CST

    S&P Global Ratings forecasts India's economy to grow at 6.5% in the current financial year and 6.7% in the next fiscal year, driven by strong domestic demand, tax cuts, and monetary easing. Recent policy changes including GST reductions, income tax relief, and lower interest rates are expected to boost middle-class consumption despite global trade challenges.

  • India

    India's GDP Growth Projected to Moderate to 7% in Q2 FY26 Despite Strong Industrial Performance

    Nov 17, 2025 08:32 pm CST

    India's economic growth is forecast to moderate to 7% in Q2 FY26 from 7.8% in the previous quarter, with industrial sector performance strengthening to a five-quarter high of 7.8%. Despite slower services and agricultural growth, manufacturing is expected to benefit from festive inventory stocking, GST rationalization, and accelerated exports ahead of US tariffs.

  • IMF Raises India

    IMF Raises India's Growth Forecast to 6.6% for 2025-26 Despite US Tariff Challenges

    Oct 14, 2025 11:48 pm CST

    The International Monetary Fund has upgraded India's GDP growth forecast to 6.6% for 2025-26, citing strong first-quarter performance that offsets US tariff impacts. With robust 7.8% growth in the April-June quarter and GST reforms boosting domestic consumption, India continues to emerge as a key global growth engine while other emerging markets face moderation.

  • High-Skilled Migrants

    High-Skilled Migrants 'Key' For US Growth Warns Top Economist

    Sep 23, 2025 07:44 pm CST

    High-skilled migrants are vital for the US economy, the OECD's chief economist told AFP, after the United States imposed a $100,000 fee for H-1B visas widely used by the tech industry.