electoral analysis

  • Prashant Kishor

    Prashant Kishor's Candid Reflection: Jan Suraaj's Electoral Setback and Renewed Commitment to Bihar Politics

    Nov 19, 2025 05:32 pm CST

    In an exclusive interview with NDTV, Jan Suraaj leader Prashant Kishor addresses his party's unexpected defeat in the Bihar Assembly elections. Despite securing only 3.5% vote share instead of his projected 12-15%, Kishor remains committed to his 10-year vision for Bihar, highlighting how his party shifted political discourse away from caste and religion toward employment and migration issues. He also analyzes the factors behind JDU's surprising electoral success, attributing it partially to pre-election financial assistance distributed to voters.

  • Understanding Bihar Elections: How Electoral Mathematics Explains RJD

    Understanding Bihar Elections: How Electoral Mathematics Explains RJD's Defeat Despite Higher Vote Share

    Nov 18, 2025 08:53 pm CST

    This analysis explains the apparent paradox in Bihar's recent elections where RJD received more total votes than BJP and JD(U) but won significantly fewer seats. The article demonstrates how the first-past-the-post electoral system, contested seat numbers, and vote concentration—not electoral manipulation—determined the outcome, providing a mathematical explanation for NDA's landslide victory despite RJD's higher absolute vote count.

  • How Smaller Parties Shaped Bihar

    How Smaller Parties Shaped Bihar's Electoral Outcome: The Impact of Jan Suraaj, BSP, and AIMIM

    Nov 15, 2025 08:30 pm CST

    The recent Bihar Assembly elections resulted in a sweeping NDA victory with 202 seats while the Mahagathbandhan secured only 35. This analysis explores how smaller parties like Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party, Mayawati's BSP, and Asaduddin Owaisi's AIMIM influenced the outcome by collectively impacting results in 63 constituencies where their vote share exceeded victory margins, ultimately fragmenting opposition votes and benefiting the NDA alliance.